Kalisz 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.57
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +24%
1.90/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.68
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 4-1 HT 2-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
19.11.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-4 HT 0-3 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
13.11.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 4-1 HT 3-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
22.07.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-1 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
21.05.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
14.10.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 5-1 HT 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
1-0
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz edged past SKRA Czestochowa 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kalisz as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kalisz had 49% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 51%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kalisz and 1.33 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Kalisz 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 61%, draw 21%, SKRA Czestochowa 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalisz), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalisz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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