Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.1pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.42/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.30
-17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
390 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FK Ufa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.04.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
01.10.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-2 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
1-1
AWAY FK Ufa
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Ufa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Ufa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Baltika Kaliningrad carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 68% of the ball to FK Ufa's 32%, shots finished 16-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.00 for FK Ufa.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Ufa?

Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 55%, draw 26%, FK Ufa 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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