Nafta 2-1 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2024

Nafta
2-1 HT 0-1
Radomlje
📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Nafta vs Radomlje Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.34
6+ Goals
7%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nafta v Radomlje — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +72%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
188 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Nafta vs Radomlje Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Radomlje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 32
5 Shots on Target 20
4 Corners 12
The Meetings
10.06.2020 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Nafta Nafta SLVNK

Nafta 2-1 Radomlje — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
2-1
AWAY Radomlje
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta nicked a narrow win over Radomlje 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Nafta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nafta had 47% of the ball to Radomlje's 53%, shots finished 17-15.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Radomlje?

Nafta 2-1 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nafta 40%, draw 30%, Radomlje 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →