Kormakur / Hvöt 3-2 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
57%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-3.3pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
57%
Away Win
52%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.7pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kormakur / Hvöt EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir EU Bookmakers 56%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-100% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kormakur / Hvöt
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AEgir
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.06.2024 AEgir AEgir 0-0 HT 0-0 Kormakur / Hvöt Kormakur / Hvöt İZL2
POST-MATCH Kormakur / Hvöt vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kormakur / Hvöt edged past AEgir 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. AEgir carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Kormakur / Hvöt vs AEgir?

Kormakur / Hvöt 3-2 AEgir in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kormakur / Hvöt vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEgir win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kormakur / Hvöt 23%, draw 20%, AEgir 57%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AEgir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEgir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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