Lafnitz 2-5 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
21%
7.78
Away
66%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.0
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
11.6
2-3 Goals
36%
2.78
4-5 Goals
32%
2.24
6+ Goals
14%
2.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
35.0
1/2
5%
20.35
1/X
6%
35.0
X/1
4%
35.0
X/2
23%
4.3
X/X
7%
17.4
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
38%
1.16
2/X
8%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+7.9pp
21%
Draw
9%
+11.6pp
66%
Away Win
85%
-19.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 91%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.04/5.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.11/0.89
-94% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -32%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
244 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 546 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hartberg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-6 HT 0-3 Hartberg Hartberg AVK
18.06.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 2-2 HT 2-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz HAZ
26.01.2019 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lafnitz
2-5
AWAY Hartberg
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg ran out comfortable winners over Lafnitz 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hartberg as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Lafnitz had 52% of the ball to Hartberg's 48%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lafnitz and 3.00 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Hartberg?

Lafnitz 2-5 Hartberg in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 13%, draw 21%, Hartberg 66%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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