Peninsula Power 5-0 St George Willawong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-8.1pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.0pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY St George Willawong EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.10/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/2.03
+16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs St George Willawong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power cruised past St George Willawong 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs St George Willawong?

Peninsula Power 5-0 St George Willawong in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs St George Willawong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 63%, draw 17%, St George Willawong 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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