Tobol 1-3 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 26 Jul 2025

Tobol
1 - 3 HT 0 - 1
Kairat
📅26/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2025

Tobol vs Kairat Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.28
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Tobol v Kairat — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tobol The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat The Market 37%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.67 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2

Tobol vs Kairat Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kairat
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2025 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
25.08.2024 Kairat Kairat 2-2 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
15.06.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
13.08.2023 Kairat Kairat 3-0 HT 2-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
06.05.2023 Tobol Tobol 2-3 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
05.09.2022 Kairat Kairat 2-3 HT 0-2 Tobol Tobol KAZP
REVIEW Tobol vs Kairat
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kairat took care of Tobol 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

The model refused to pick a side here (38% / 26% / 36%); Kairat picked one for it.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tobol and 2.00 for Kairat.

Tobol vs Kairat Result & Final Score

Tobol 1 - 3 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tobol vs Kairat Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tobol 38%, draw 26%, Kairat 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tobol), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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