26/07/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
Vag vs Brodd Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
25%
Draw
19%
47%
Away Win
54%
69%
BTTS Yes
74%
31%
BTTS No
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vag v Brodd — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vag
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Brodd
EU Bookmakers 58%
-16% /
-16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+21% /
+21%
1.50/2.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.96/0.84
-14%
/
-14%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-15%
/
+91%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
260 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.5
POST-MATCH
Vag vs Brodd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vag swept aside Brodd 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Brodd at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (69%) missed.
What was the final score of Vag vs Brodd?
Vag 3-0 Brodd in the Norway - 3rd Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vag vs Brodd?
Before kick-off our model rated an Brodd win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vag 28%, draw 25%, Brodd 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Brodd), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Brodd)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
26 Jul 2025