Luis Angel Firpo 3-3 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -16%
1.45/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.39
+8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 5-1 HT 3-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
08.02.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
21.09.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
10.04.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
13.02.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo and Once Deportivo shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Luis Angel Firpo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.00 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Once Deportivo?

Luis Angel Firpo 3-3 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 46%, draw 25%, Once Deportivo 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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