PSM Makassar 3-1 Dewa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dewa United EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.94/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.39
+39% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dewa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.09.2022 Dewa United Dewa United 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Dewa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar got the better of Dewa United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSM Makassar as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Dewa United?

PSM Makassar 3-1 Dewa United in the Indonesia League 1 on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Dewa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 43%, draw 30%, Dewa United 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Over 2.5
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