Red Star FC 93 1-0 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.48
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
12%
3.88
X/2
8%
8.92
X/X
16%
3.74
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
9%
7.94
2/X
9%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 23%
-17% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.04/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.43
-28% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
25.3 Crosses 14.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ajaccio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.20 xG 1.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
248 Passes 416
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2019 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-0 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
05.10.2018 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
06.02.2017 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
09.09.2016 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-2 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
08.04.2016 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-2 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
24.11.2015 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
1-0
AWAY Ajaccio
0.42 xG 0.79
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
298 Passes 434
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 squeezed past Ajaccio 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Red Star FC 93 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 42% of the ball to Ajaccio's 58%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.42 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Red Star FC 93 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 0.50 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Ajaccio?

Red Star FC 93 1-0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 44%, draw 31%, Ajaccio 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Red Star FC 93), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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