UTA Arad 1-1 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.73
No
38%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.16
2-3 Goals
49%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
12%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
54%
+8.4pp
38%
BTTS No
46%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
0.94/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.83
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
0W-4D-2L
AWAY SSC Farul
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-0 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
26.10.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-2 HT 1-2 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
24.02.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
02.10.2022 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
20.11.2021 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
18.07.2021 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-0 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-1
AWAY SSC Farul
0.78 xG 0.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
208 Passes 347
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad and SSC Farul shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTA Arad had 41% of the ball to SSC Farul's 59%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.78 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for UTA Arad and 0.83 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs SSC Farul?

UTA Arad 1-1 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 36%, draw 32%, SSC Farul 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UTA Arad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ BTTS Yes
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ROM More Romania - 1st Division
26 Aug 2024
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