26/08/2024
·
20:50
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Al Zulfi vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
31%
29%
Draw
28%
37%
Away Win
41%
56%
Under 2.5
52%
44%
Over 2.5
48%
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
51%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Zulfi v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Zulfi
The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Najma
The Market 45%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.02
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-25%
/
+6%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
255 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.4
POST-MATCH
Al Zulfi vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Zulfi beat Al Najma 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Al Zulfi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Al Zulfi vs Al Najma?
Al Zulfi 2-0 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Zulfi vs Al Najma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Zulfi 35%, draw 29%, Al Najma 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Najma) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Najma)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
SUUD1
More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
26 Aug 2024