Livyi Bereh 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 26 Aug 2024

Livyi Bereh
1-0 HT 1-0
Chornomorets Odessa
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2024/2025

Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets Odessa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livyi Bereh v Chornomorets Odessa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.42/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.21
+21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets Odessa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livyi Bereh
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 5-2 HT 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
23.08.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-2 HT 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKRK
07.05.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 HT 0-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
30.10.2022 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
06.12.2021 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 3-1 HT 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
31.07.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-1 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR

Livyi Bereh 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livyi Bereh
1-0
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livyi Bereh nicked a narrow win over Chornomorets Odessa 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Livyi Bereh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Livyi Bereh had 49% of the ball to Chornomorets Odessa's 51%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livyi Bereh had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Livyi Bereh and 1.00 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Livyi Bereh 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livyi Bereh win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Livyi Bereh 36%, draw 28%, Chornomorets Odessa 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
26 Aug 2024
18:00 Kolos Kovalivka vs Veres Rivne Analysis →
19:00 LNZ Cherkasy vs Karpaty Lviv Analysis →