Olympiakos 2-1 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
14%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.3
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
34.5
X/1
17%
3.23
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
6%
9.3
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
6%
31.5
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-11.9pp
17%
Draw
14%
+3.0pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 8%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
2.89/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.00
+24% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kallithea
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.02.2006 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
17.09.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 0-3 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
23.01.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 1-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
12.01.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 3-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
22.12.2004 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUK
19.09.2004 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
2-1
AWAY Kallithea
1.60 xG 0.79
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
365 Passes 200
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos squeezed past Kallithea 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Olympiakos had 61% of the ball to Kallithea's 39%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.60 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Olympiakos and 1.00 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Kallithea?

Olympiakos 2-1 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 68%, draw 17%, Kallithea 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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