Dumbarton 1-0 Hearts II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 26 Aug 2025

Dumbarton
1-0 HT 0-0
Hearts II
📅26/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Dumbarton vs Hearts II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.25
Draw
11%
5.71
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.96
Over 2.5
70%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.63
2-3 Goals
33%
2.12
4-5 Goals
34%
2.33
6+ Goals
17%
4.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
76%
+4.2pp
11%
Draw
15%
-3.5pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-0.7pp
30%
Under 2.5
30%
-0.2pp
70%
Over 2.5
70%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dumbarton v Hearts II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts II EU Bookmakers 12%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
4.00/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/3.80
+55% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
486 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Hearts II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton edged past Hearts II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dumbarton as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Hearts II?

Dumbarton 1-0 Hearts II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Hearts II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 80%, draw 11%, Hearts II 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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