União de Leiria U23 2-4 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
26%
+11.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
2-4
AWAY Benfica U23
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH União de Leiria U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 beat União de Leiria U23 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Benfica U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, União de Leiria U23 had 44% of the ball to Benfica U23's 56%, shots finished 12-23.

What was the final score of União de Leiria U23 vs Benfica U23?

União de Leiria U23 2-4 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for União de Leiria U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 38%, draw 22%, Benfica U23 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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