Al Wihdat 2-1 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Al Wihdat win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.9pp
31%
Draw
21%
+9.4pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wihdat EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.33/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.02
+27% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +74%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wihdat
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wihdat Al Wihdat ÜRD
04.08.2023 Al Wihdat Al Wihdat 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
06.11.2020 Al Wihdat Al Wihdat 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
POST-MATCH Al Wihdat vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wihdat squeezed past Al Ahli 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Wihdat as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Wihdat had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Wihdat and 0.00 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Wihdat vs Al Ahli?

Al Wihdat 2-1 Al Ahli in the Jordan - Premier League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wihdat vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wihdat win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Wihdat 55%, draw 31%, Al Ahli 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wihdat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wihdat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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