Los Angeles FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.88
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
14%
3.73
X/2
7%
11.85
X/X
11%
6.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
21.85
2/2
12%
9.13
2/X
6%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 6% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 20%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.69 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 Passes 438
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
18.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-2 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
18.05.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
24.07.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
17.04.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
04.09.2021 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
3-1
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
2.72 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
469 Passes 424
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC got the better of Sporting Kansas City 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 52% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 48%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.72 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Los Angeles FC and 0.50 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Los Angeles FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Open Cup on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 54%, draw 23%, Sporting Kansas City 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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