Al Ain 4-2 Al Wasl Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
38%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
46%
Away Win
38%
+8.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 42%
-20% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +20%
1.25/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.30
-34% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.4 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.78 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
376 Passes 227
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.05.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 2-4 HT 0-3 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
02.11.2023 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
07.05.2023 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
14.04.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAECK
05.04.2023 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAECK
24.12.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
4-2
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai
1.87 xG 0.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
405 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Wasl Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain beat Al Wasl Dubai 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wasl Dubai at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ain had 60% of the ball to Al Wasl Dubai's 40%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.87 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ain and 1.67 for Al Wasl Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Wasl Dubai?

Al Ain 4-2 Al Wasl Dubai in the UAE - League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Wasl Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 28%, draw 26%, Al Wasl Dubai 46%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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