Chennaiyin FC 0-1 Mohammedan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 26 Sep 2024

Chennaiyin FC
0-1 HT 0-1
Mohammedan
📅26/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Chennaiyin FC vs Mohammedan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
8%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chennaiyin FC v Mohammedan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 26%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+74% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.7 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Chennaiyin FC 0-1 Mohammedan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chennaiyin FC
0-1
AWAY Mohammedan
1.05 xG 2.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
221 Passes 168
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
34 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs Mohammedan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mohammedan edged past Chennaiyin FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chennaiyin FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Chennaiyin FC had 53% of the ball to Mohammedan's 47%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.05 to 2.01.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs Mohammedan?

Chennaiyin FC 0-1 Mohammedan in the India - Super League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs Mohammedan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chennaiyin FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 45%, draw 24%, Mohammedan 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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