26/09/2024
·
02:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
America de Cali vs Bogota Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
25%
Draw
23%
23%
Away Win
15%
54%
Under 2.5
52%
46%
Over 2.5
48%
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
56%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America de Cali v Bogota — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
America de Cali
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bogota
EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
0.46/0.09
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.30/1.40
-70%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-62%
/
+9%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
383 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
261 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
America de Cali vs Bogota
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
America de Cali got the better of Bogota 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Bogota?
America de Cali 2-0 Bogota in the Colombia - Cup on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Bogota?
Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 52%, draw 25%, Bogota 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (America de Cali)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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