FA Siauliai 2-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2024

FA Siauliai
2-1 HT 1-0
FK Panevezys
📅26/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FA Siauliai v FK Panevezys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 38%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.50
-9% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
10.04.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
30.10.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
24.07.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
21.05.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
01.04.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1

FA Siauliai 2-1 FK Panevezys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
2-1
AWAY FK Panevezys
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai edged past FK Panevezys 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day FA Siauliai made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 47% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 53%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.50 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?

FA Siauliai 2-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 36%, draw 23%, FK Panevezys 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Panevezys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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