Resovia Rzeszow 1-0 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.28
Away Pick
64%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.38
Over
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
38%
4-5
27%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lech Poznan win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
14%
Home Win
8%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.2pp
64%
Away Win
76%
-11.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Resovia Rzeszow The Market 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan The Market 80%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.62/3.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.18/0.29
+73% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
223 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Resovia Rzeszow
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
29.10.2019 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 0-4 HT 0-2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Resovia Rzeszow
1-0
AWAY Lech Poznan
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Resovia Rzeszow vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Resovia Rzeszow edged past Lech Poznan 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lech Poznan at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Resovia Rzeszow had 37% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 63%, shots finished 6-20.

What was the final score of Resovia Rzeszow vs Lech Poznan?

Resovia Rzeszow 1-0 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Cup on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Resovia Rzeszow vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Resovia Rzeszow 14%, draw 22%, Lech Poznan 64%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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