AE Larissa 0-1 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.47/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+27% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Panserraikos
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.01.2011 AE Larissa AE Larissa 2-1 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
03.10.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
25.01.2009 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
21.01.2009 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUK
27.09.2008 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-3 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
0-1
AWAY Panserraikos
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos squeezed past AE Larissa 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Panserraikos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, AE Larissa had 53% of the ball to Panserraikos's 47%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for AE Larissa and 1.00 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Panserraikos?

AE Larissa 0-1 Panserraikos in the Greece - Cup on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 39%, draw 27%, Panserraikos 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AE Larissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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