Mikkeli 5-1 JJK Jyvaskyla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.64
2-3 Goals
38%
2.01
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
13%
5.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-7.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.9pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY JJK Jyvaskyla EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.57/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.68
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +49%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
3W-2D-0L
AWAY JJK Jyvaskyla
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.08.2025 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-0 HT 1-0 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN3
25.06.2025 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 0-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN3
18.08.2023 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 0-1 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
07.06.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 4-3 HT 1-3 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN2
17.05.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-1 HT 1-0 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİK
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs JJK Jyvaskyla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mikkeli ran out comfortable winners over JJK Jyvaskyla 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mikkeli as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mikkeli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Mikkeli and 0.80 for JJK Jyvaskyla.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs JJK Jyvaskyla?

Mikkeli 5-1 JJK Jyvaskyla in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs JJK Jyvaskyla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mikkeli win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 65%, draw 20%, JJK Jyvaskyla 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mikkeli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mikkeli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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