Paris FC (K) 2-0 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
7%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
77%
-2.3pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.5pp
7%
Away Win
8%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.35/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.81
+0% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / -26%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.1
20.9 Crosses 9.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.88 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 194
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
34 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.02.2025 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 4-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
05.10.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
11.11.2023 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 1-6 HT 1-3 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC (K)
2-0
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
0.89 xG 0.48
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
537 Passes 179
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Paris FC (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC (K) beat Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paris FC (K) as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris FC (K) had 68% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 32%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.89 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paris FC (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Paris FC (K) and 0.67 for Saint-Étienne (K).

What was the final score of Paris FC (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Paris FC (K) 2-0 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Paris FC (K) 75%, draw 18%, Saint-Étienne (K) 7%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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