Llanelli Town 1-0 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
7%
9.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 30% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
52%
Away Win
52%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 56%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.54
-100% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +87%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
13.12.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-2 HT 0-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALWK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llanelli Town
1-0
AWAY Haverfordwest County
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town edged past Haverfordwest County 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Haverfordwest County at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Llanelli Town had 33% of the ball to Haverfordwest County's 67%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Llanelli Town 1-0 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 27%, draw 21%, Haverfordwest County 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Under 2.5
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