Al Kuwait 2-1 Al Qadsia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.82
2-3 Goals
34%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
7%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 36% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kuwait EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 28%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.58/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.30
-4% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kuwait
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Qadsia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.05.2025 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUVEK
06.05.2025 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
28.01.2025 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUVSK
09.01.2025 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
08.08.2024 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
24.05.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kuwait
2-1
AWAY Al Qadsia
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Kuwait vs Al Qadsia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kuwait nicked a narrow win over Al Qadsia 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Kuwait as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Kuwait had 45% of the ball to Al Qadsia's 55%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Kuwait had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Kuwait and 0.67 for Al Qadsia.

What was the final score of Al Kuwait vs Al Qadsia?

Al Kuwait 2-1 Al Qadsia in the Kuwait - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kuwait vs Al Qadsia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kuwait win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Kuwait 46%, draw 22%, Al Qadsia 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kuwait) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kuwait) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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