Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

Slask Wroclaw
1-1 HT 1-0
Polonia Warszawa
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Slask Wroclaw vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Slask Wroclaw v Polonia Warszawa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
2.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.16
+29% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Slask Wroclaw vs Polonia Warszawa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
13.04.2013 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 2-2 HT 1-2 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
07.10.2012 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 1-1 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL
01.04.2012 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 3-0 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
02.10.2011 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 4-0 HT 2-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL

Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Polonia Warszawa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
1-1
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slask Wroclaw and Polonia Warszawa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Slask Wroclaw at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 48% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 52%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Slask Wroclaw had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 1.50 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Polonia Warszawa?

Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slask Wroclaw win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 42%, draw 29%, Polonia Warszawa 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slask Wroclaw), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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