Genoa U20 1-2 Cagliari U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +79%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa U20
1-2
AWAY Cagliari U20
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Cagliari U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari U20 squeezed past Genoa U20 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Genoa U20 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Genoa U20 had 48% of the ball to Cagliari U20's 52%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Genoa U20 1-2 Cagliari U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 45%, draw 26%, Cagliari U20 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genoa U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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