Bahrain SC 1-2 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
45%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
34%
-10.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
45%
Away Win
37%
+8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.7pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahrain SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 40%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.81
+61% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +56%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahrain SC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2023 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
05.10.2022 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 3-2 HT 2-1 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahrain SC
1-2
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahrain SC vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama squeezed past Bahrain SC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shabab Manama as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bahrain SC had 47% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 53%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Manama led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bahrain SC and 3.00 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Bahrain SC vs Al Shabab Manama?

Bahrain SC 1-2 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahrain SC vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bahrain SC 24%, draw 31%, Al Shabab Manama 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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