Arba Minch Kenema 1-0 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-7.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+7.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
1-0
AWAY Bahardar
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema nicked a narrow win over Bahardar 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bahardar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 51% of the ball to Bahardar's 49%, shots finished 4-3.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Bahardar?

Arba Minch Kenema 1-0 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 30%, draw 27%, Bahardar 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bahardar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahardar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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