USM Oujda 1-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.1pp
38%
Draw
31%
+7.1pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.0pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Atlas Khenifra EU Bookmakers 28%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.33/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.28
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Oujda
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Chabab Atlas Khenifra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.10.2023 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 2-2 HT 1-1 USM Oujda FAS2
16.10.2022 USM Oujda 2-1 HT 1-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra FAS2
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Oujda and Chabab Atlas Khenifra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 38% / 22% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM Oujda had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for USM Oujda and 1.50 for Chabab Atlas Khenifra.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra?

USM Oujda 1-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 40%, draw 38%, Chabab Atlas Khenifra 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (USM Oujda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Oujda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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FAS2 More Morocco - Botola 2
26 Oct 2024
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