Japonya (K) 4-0 Güney Kore (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒08:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 26% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-12.8pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.9pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.49/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.62
+30% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
455 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.5
14.5 Crosses 10.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Güney Kore (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
390 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.04.2018 Güney Kore (K) Güney Kore (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) Asya Kupası Kadınlar
08.12.2017 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 3-2 HT 1-1 Güney Kore (K) Güney Kore (K) Asya - EAFF Kadınlar Doğu Asya Kupası
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya (K)
4-0
AWAY Güney Kore (K)
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Japonya (K) vs Güney Kore (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya (K) cruised past Güney Kore (K) 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Japonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Japonya (K) had 62% of the ball to Güney Kore (K)'s 38%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Japonya (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Japonya (K) and 1.00 for Güney Kore (K).

What was the final score of Japonya (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Japonya (K) 4-0 Güney Kore (K) in the Friendlies on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Japonya (K) 61%, draw 22%, Güney Kore (K) 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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