FC Gifu 4-1 Imabari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Imabari EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.20/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.06
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.9 Crosses 24.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gifu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Imabari
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.03.2024 Imabari Imabari 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
12.08.2023 Imabari Imabari 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
15.07.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 2-2 HT 2-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
14.08.2022 Imabari Imabari 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
03.07.2022 FC Gifu FC Gifu 0-5 HT 0-2 Imabari Imabari JAP3
02.10.2021 FC Gifu FC Gifu 2-1 HT 1-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Gifu
4-1
AWAY Imabari
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
381 Passes 253
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Gifu vs Imabari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gifu ran out comfortable winners over Imabari 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Imabari at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Gifu had 57% of the ball to Imabari's 43%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Gifu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Gifu and 1.67 for Imabari.

What was the final score of FC Gifu vs Imabari?

FC Gifu 4-1 Imabari in the Japan - J3 League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gifu vs Imabari?

Before kick-off our model rated an Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Gifu 31%, draw 26%, Imabari 44%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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