Al Rayyan 2-2 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.1
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
29%
2.74
6+ Goals
15%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +29%
1.77/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.99
-19% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
19.3 Crosses 14.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
371 Passes 262
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
13.02.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
23.08.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
23.01.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
27.11.2021 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
06.10.2021 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan and Al Ahli couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Rayyan at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Rayyan and 0.83 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli?

Al Rayyan 2-2 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 54%, draw 23%, Al Ahli 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Rayyan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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