Sparta Selemet 1-1 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
22%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-7.4pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.4pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Selemet
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
11.11.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-5 HT 0-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
17.09.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Selemet
1-1
AWAY CSF Balti
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Selemet vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Selemet and CSF Balti shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Selemet had 52% of the ball to CSF Balti's 48%, shots finished 22-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSF Balti led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sparta Selemet and 3.00 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of Sparta Selemet vs CSF Balti?

Sparta Selemet 1-1 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Selemet vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSF Balti win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sparta Selemet 28%, draw 33%, CSF Balti 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CSF Balti) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSF Balti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →