Bendel Insurance 0-1 Abia Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 26 Oct 2024

Bendel Insurance
0-1 HT 0-1
Abia Warriors
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.02
Draw
26%
2.63
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.17
Over 2.5
41%
4.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
3.49
No
50%
1.25
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
57%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
35%
-8.3pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
82%
-23.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
18%
+23.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
24%
+25.6pp
50%
BTTS No
76%
-25.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bendel Insurance v Abia Warriors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 22%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.05
-23% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bendel Insurance
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Abia Warriors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
21.12.2023 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 1-0 HT 1-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ

Bendel Insurance 0-1 Abia Warriors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bendel Insurance
0-1
AWAY Abia Warriors
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abia Warriors squeezed past Bendel Insurance 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bendel Insurance at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Bendel Insurance had 55% of the ball to Abia Warriors's 45%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors?

Bendel Insurance 0-1 Abia Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Abia Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 52%, draw 26%, Abia Warriors 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bendel Insurance) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5
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