UTA Arad 1-0 Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Buzau EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.31/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.50
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Buzau
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.57 xG 0.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Buzau Buzau 1-2 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROMK
04.06.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 5-1 HT 1-0 Buzau Buzau ROM2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-0
AWAY Buzau
0.74 xG 0.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
337 Passes 441
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad squeezed past Buzau 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UTA Arad as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, UTA Arad had 44% of the ball to Buzau's 56%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.74 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UTA Arad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for UTA Arad and 1.00 for Buzau.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Buzau?

UTA Arad 1-0 Buzau in the Romania - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 45%, draw 26%, Buzau 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTA Arad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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