AS Ariana 0-1 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 26 Oct 2024

AS Ariana
0-1
EM Mahdia
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

AS Ariana vs EM Mahdia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AS Ariana v EM Mahdia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.40/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+19% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia edged past AS Ariana 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day EM Mahdia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs EM Mahdia?

AS Ariana 0-1 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 41%, draw 23%, EM Mahdia 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AS Ariana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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