26/10/2024
·
02:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
4-0
Torque vs Rio Negro RR Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
36%
4-5
30%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Torque win — 70% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
70%
Home Win
82%
17%
Draw
11%
13%
Away Win
7%
39%
Under 2.5
30%
61%
Over 2.5
70%
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
54%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torque v Rio Negro RR — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Torque
The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rio Negro RR
The Market 9%
+20% /
+20%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+42% /
+42%
8.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
+150%
/
-73%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+133%
/
+150%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
19
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
488 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
290 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Torque vs Rio Negro RR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Torque cruised past Rio Negro RR 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torque as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Torque vs Rio Negro RR?
Torque 5-1 Rio Negro RR in the Uruguay Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torque vs Rio Negro RR?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Torque 70%, draw 17%, Rio Negro RR 13%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torque), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Torque)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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