Panserraikos 1-0 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Oct 2024

Panserraikos
1-0 HT 1-0
AEK Atina
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Panserraikos vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
51%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
12.75
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X
5%
20.75
X/1
10%
16.1
X/2
13%
3.5
X/X
12%
6.97
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.62
2/X
7%
20.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
13%
+12.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.8pp
51%
Away Win
68%
-17.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panserraikos v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 72%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
0.57/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.74
-32% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -21%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
11.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.4
13.3 Crosses 24.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Panserraikos vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.25 xG 2.38
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
135 Passes 539
57% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
26.08.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
25.01.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
18.01.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
09.01.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-3 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
12.09.2010 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN

Panserraikos 1-0 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
1-0
AWAY AEK Atina
1.04 xG 2.61
22% Ball Possession 78%
6 Total Shots 28
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 11
85 Passes 471
53% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 67
8 Crosses 47
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos nicked a narrow win over AEK Atina 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was AEK Atina at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Panserraikos had 22% of the ball to AEK Atina's 78%, shots finished 6-28, expected goals 1.04 to 2.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured AEK Atina.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Panserraikos and 2.33 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs AEK Atina?

Panserraikos 1-0 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 26%, draw 24%, AEK Atina 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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