Basconia 2-0 Naxara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basconia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxara EU Bookmakers 31%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -13%
0.50/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.30
-62% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basconia
2-0
AWAY Naxara
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Basconia vs Naxara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basconia beat Naxara 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Basconia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Basconia had 51% of the ball to Naxara's 49%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Basconia vs Naxara?

Basconia 2-0 Naxara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basconia vs Naxara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basconia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Basconia 40%, draw 29%, Naxara 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basconia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basconia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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