Orsha 1-3 Gomel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel II EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.09/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-35% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
343 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gomel II
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2025 Gomel II Gomel II 2-5 HT 2-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
1-3
AWAY Gomel II
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Gomel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel II saw off Orsha 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Gomel II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Orsha had 58% of the ball to Gomel II's 42%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Gomel II?

Orsha 1-3 Gomel II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Gomel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orsha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Orsha 39%, draw 22%, Gomel II 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orsha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orsha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR1 More Belarus - 1st Division
26 Oct 2025
13:00 BATE II vs Slonim Analysis →
14:00 Bumprom vs Dinamo Minsk II Analysis →