Kaizer Chiefs 3-1 Simba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.18
Over 2.5
42%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.82
No
62%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
42%
+15.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
58%
-15.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.8pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Simba EU Bookmakers 15%
-70% / -70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.90
-44% / -73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
Crosses 10.3
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Simba
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.94
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
191 Passes 409
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2021 Simba Simba 3-0 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs AŞL
15.05.2021 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 4-0 HT 2-0 Simba Simba AŞL
POST-MATCH Kaizer Chiefs vs Simba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaizer Chiefs saw off Simba 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kaizer Chiefs as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 1.50 for Simba.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs Simba?

Kaizer Chiefs 3-1 Simba in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs Simba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 62%, draw 23%, Simba 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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