Kazma 1-1 Al Shabab — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
13%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 31% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
62%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazma EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.79/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.24
-11% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +50%
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazma
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2024 Al Shabab Al Shabab 0-2 HT 0-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
29.04.2024 Kazma Kazma 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Al Shabab KUV
08.01.2024 Al Shabab Al Shabab 1-0 HT 1-0 Kazma Kazma KUV
21.10.2023 Kazma Kazma 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Al Shabab KUV
09.03.2022 Al Shabab Al Shabab 0-1 HT 0-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
08.12.2021 Kazma Kazma 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Al Shabab KUV
POST-MATCH Kazma vs Al Shabab
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kazma and Al Shabab couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kazma at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kazma had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kazma and 0.50 for Al Shabab.

What was the final score of Kazma vs Al Shabab?

Kazma 1-1 Al Shabab in the Kuwait - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazma vs Al Shabab?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kazma win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Kazma 66%, draw 21%, Al Shabab 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kazma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kazma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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