Vag 1-1 Vindbjart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
1.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vag EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vindbjart EU Bookmakers 52%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.50/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.78
-20% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vag
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vindbjart
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
19.07.2025 Vindbjart Vindbjart 5-2 HT 2-2 Vag NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vag
1-1
AWAY Vindbjart
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Vag vs Vindbjart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vag and Vindbjart couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (68%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Vag had 54% of the ball to Vindbjart's 46%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Vag vs Vindbjart?

Vag 1-1 Vindbjart in the Norway - 3rd Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vag vs Vindbjart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vindbjart win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vag 38%, draw 21%, Vindbjart 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vindbjart), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vindbjart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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