Stal Mielec 1-2 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

Stal Mielec
1-2 HT 1-0
Miedz Legnica
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stal Mielec v Miedz Legnica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.45/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.32
+12% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.37 xG 0.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
379 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.04.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-1 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
02.10.2022 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-2 HT 0-2 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
02.06.2020 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-2 HT 1-2 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL1
26.08.2019 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
27.08.2017 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-0 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL1

Stal Mielec 1-2 Miedz Legnica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
1-2
AWAY Miedz Legnica
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica nicked a narrow win over Stal Mielec 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Miedz Legnica found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 49% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 51%, shots finished 10-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stal Mielec had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Stal Mielec and 0.40 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica?

Stal Mielec 1-2 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 38%, draw 25%, Miedz Legnica 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Mielec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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