SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 26 Oct 2025

SKA Khabarovsk
1-0 HT 1-0
Fakel
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

SKA Khabarovsk vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SKA Khabarovsk v Fakel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.48/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.75
+40% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

SKA Khabarovsk vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Fakel
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.04.2022 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 2-1 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS1
13.10.2021 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-1 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
29.11.2020 Fakel Fakel 3-0 HT 3-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
22.08.2020 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1
13.11.2019 Fakel Fakel 0-2 HT 0-1 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1

SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 Fakel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
1-0
AWAY Fakel
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SKA Khabarovsk vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKA Khabarovsk nicked a narrow win over Fakel 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day SKA Khabarovsk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, SKA Khabarovsk had 41% of the ball to Fakel's 59%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, SKA Khabarovsk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for SKA Khabarovsk and 0.80 for Fakel.

What was the final score of SKA Khabarovsk vs Fakel?

SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKA Khabarovsk vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SKA Khabarovsk 30%, draw 30%, Fakel 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fakel), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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